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(two tools in one)
Estimate the true costs of incidents based on your organization’s profit margin or EBITDA
Based on the number of incidents experienced so far in the calendar year - estimate or predict what the rest of the week, month, quarter(s) or year would look like if your organization remains on the same incident trajectory
The True-Cost Risk Predictor & Forecaster
See what your incidents really cost — direct, hidden (Stanford model), and the revenue you must generate just to break even — then forecast your trajectory. Free. Unlock it below.
Company Risk Assessment Tool
Estimate the full cost of incidents and forecast where your current pace is taking you. Built on federal (BLS, NHTSA, FMCSA) benchmarks and the Stanford indirect-cost model.
Incident Cost Estimator
Enter known direct costs. Indirect costs will be estimated based on these values. This will override the 'Number of Incidents'.
Risk Predictor & Forecaster
Time Period for Quantity Above
Current Trend Analysis
Please enter a quantity and time period.
Incident Forecast (at current pace)
Per Month
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Per Quarter
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Per Year
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Data Sources & Methodology
Indirect Cost Calculation Methodology
Indirect costs are calculated using a sliding scale model from a Stanford University study. This model applies a ratio based on the direct cost of an incident.
- $0 - $2,999 Direct Cost: Ratio of 4.5
- $3,000 - $4,999 Direct Cost: Ratio of 1.6
- $5,000 - $9,999 Direct Cost: Ratio of 1.2
- $10,000+ Direct Cost: Ratio of 1.1
Data Sources for National Averages
The national average direct costs are synthesized from recent data from primary federal agencies to provide relevant benchmarks.
- Average Injury Cost: Based on U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data for DART cases, factoring in medical and indemnity costs.
- MHE / Forklift Incident Cost: Based on BLS data (CFOI & SOII) for serious incidents.
- Commercial Vehicle Accident Costs: Based on National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) data.
This tool shows the cost. Safe Ops removes it.
Our Cognitive Reliability Architecture and the patent-pending Route Risk Scoring Model (RRSM) bring provable diligence to how your people work and how your routes are chosen — a validated risk signal and a documented record. Decision-support, not a guarantee. See how it works on your operation.